I’d suggest checking the recent actual election results (previous GE, locals and any by-elections), then checking a few different tools to see the predictions, and kind of taking the average of that.
Of course, you can always donate money and/or campaign somewhere other than where you live. I’m in a 100% Labour hold, according to electoral calculus, so I’ve been doorknocking elsewhere.
They split my constituency, so what I thought was going to be an easy lib dem victory may not be?!
Electoral calculus think a 9% lib dem victory 🤷♂️
I’d suggest checking the recent actual election results (previous GE, locals and any by-elections), then checking a few different tools to see the predictions, and kind of taking the average of that.
Of course, you can always donate money and/or campaign somewhere other than where you live. I’m in a 100% Labour hold, according to electoral calculus, so I’ve been doorknocking elsewhere.